The UFC Edmonton card will feature thirteen bouts, all of which will be previewed in this post. The card will be headlined by a bout between welterweight contenders Joaquin Buckley (pictured left) and Mike Malott (pictured right).
A fighter’s CC win probabilities are based off of a fighter’s Cage Calculus (CC) Rating and their place in the CC Rankings. A fighter’s CageCalc+ Score is determined by a variety of factors and is specific to each matchup. The CageCalc+ projection is an estimated win probability based on this statistic. Each fighter’s new CC Ratings after their bouts will be determined by the first CC win probability only.
Also featured below their record and rating is their divisional rankings in the CC Rankings and the official UFC Rankings. Both their media ranking and Meta AI ranking are displayed. Any fighter falling outside of the top 15 of their respective division is classified as NR (not ranked).
Also displayed to the right of their rankings is a fighter’s CCz Score. A positive CCz Score indicates a fighter is above average for their weight class. A negative one indicates they are below average. The higher the number is, the farther away from average a fighter is (in either direction). CCz Scores typically range from as high as positive 4, to as low as negative 2.5.
The fighter’s name highlighted in green at the bottom of the panel indicates the editor’s pick to win. The numbers above each fighter’s name indicates their posted odds to win on FanDuel Sportsbook as of the posting of these previews.
Without further ado, here is the Cage Calculus tale of the tape for this week’s fights!
UFC Edmonton (Buckley vs. Malott) Previews – October 17, 2026
Soo Young Yoo vs. Cody Chovancek
EDITOR’S NOTE: Yoo has better experience and better wrestling. Chovancek has talent, but he shouldn’t be an underdog in his first test in the UFC against an opponent who matches up well against him.
Melissa Croden vs. Chelsea Chandler
EDITOR’S NOTE: Chandler hasn’t shown much of any ability to threaten what’s left of the top tier of the bantamweight division. She’s sticking around to ensure there are fighters left in the division. Croden is a rising talent, who should make easy work here.
Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow
EDITOR’S NOTE: This will either be Anheliger by KO or Koslow by submission. My bet would be on the latter. Anheliger has been VERY susceptible to getting submitted (six of his eight losses), whereas all six of Koslow’s pro wins have been by sub. This is a matchup nightmare for Anheliger.
Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller
EDITOR’S NOTE: I don’t think Cerminara, a one-time title challenger at 125, has anything to add to the conversation in this division anymore. Coming out of a long layoff, she should have a fair bit of ring rust. At age 37, how much time is reasonably left to shake it off? That said, Stiller is very green and is taking this on relatively short notice. Cerminara catches a break, and we can see what’s left in the tank.
Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier
EDITOR’S NOTE: BACK UP THE TRUCK! Two guys making their UFC debuts. Mahjoub is an internationally accomplished judo practitioner. Faglier has not faced this kind of grappling prowess in his career. He either respects that and loses his ability to wildly headhunt for the KO, or he doesn’t and falls victim to getting manhandled by the Iranian. Either way, this matchup looks primed for Mahjoub to make his mark. That said, anything can happen at heavyweight when leather starts slinging.
Julien LeBlanc vs. Nick Galanti
EDITOR’S NOTE: Galanti is relentless. LeBlanc is not the guy who can weather this storm.
Tanner Boser vs. Jhonata Diniz (Featured Prelim)
EDITOR’S NOTE: Diniz wins a firefight. Boser can win if he keeps it alive long enough to go the distance. Diniz is big enough, though, to force Boser to fight his kind of fight.
Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr
EDITOR’S NOTE: I seriously considered going with Landwehr, He’d strung together some seriously strong performances before his recent run of three straight KO losses. Going up in weight, he needs to have the discipline to fight smart. At this stage in his career, though, he’s become a gunslinger. And that will play into Nallo’s hands.
Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba
EDITOR’S NOTE: Jourdain is the much better striker in this matchup. Cuamba can win by leaning on his wrestling, but with a takedown percentage in the low 30s, that seems too tall a task.
Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus
EDITOR’S NOTE: Daukaus is one of the better submission threats in the division. He is a little chinny at times, but Barriault is unlikely to pose that danger. Barriault can make this a dogfight, but he does not have the one-punch KO power needed to pose a threat to Daukaus in this matchup.
Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Perez
EDITOR’S NOTE: Perez will have the benefit of being the much younger man, as well as having a very well-rounded skillset. Him being a newcomer shouldn’t be an issue.
Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Co-Main Event)
EDITOR’S NOTE: This should be a title eliminator of sorts (depending on Valentina Shevchenko’s availability). Jasudavicius shouldn’t be as big an underdog as she is, given how Blanchfield struggled with Manon Fiorot’s size when they fought. However, Blanchfield is a top-tier fighter in this division. She should keep her foot on the gas to wear down Jasudavicius in the grappling.
Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott (Main Event)
EDITOR’S NOTE: Buckley has more high-level experience. Malott hasn’t fought nearly the same caliber of fighter. We’ve also not seen Malott go beyond three rounds. The way he gassed out against Neil Magny (in a fight he was winning) is concerning. Buckley should be the smarter play as a slight underdog to get this key win at welterweight.
Picture Credit: UFC
