The UFC Vegas 113 card will feature thirteen bouts, all of which will be previewed in this post. The card will be headlined by a bout between bantamweight contenders Mario Bautista (pictured left) and Vinicius Oliveira (pictured right). The co-main event is a matchup of ranked flyweights. Amir Albazi of Iraq will take on Kyoji Horiguchi of Japan.

A fighter’s CC win probabilities are based off of a fighter’s Cage Calculus (CC) Rating and their place in the CC Rankings. A fighter’s CageCalc+ Score is determined by a variety of factors and is specific to each matchup. The CageCalc+ projection is an estimated win probability based on this statistic. Each fighter’s new CC Ratings after their bouts will be determined by the first CC win probability only.

Also featured below their record and rating is their divisional rankings in the CC Rankings and the official UFC Rankings. Any fighter falling outside of the top 15 of their respective division is classified as NR (not ranked).

Also displayed to the right of their rankings is a fighter’s CCz Score. A positive CCz Score indicates a fighter is above average for their weight class. A negative one indicates they are below average. The higher the number is, the farther away from average a fighter is (in either direction). CCz Scores typically range from as high as positive 4, to as low as negative 2.5.

The fighter’s name highlighted in green at the bottom of the panel indicates the editor’s pick to win. The numbers above each fighter’s name indicates their posted odds to win on FanDuel Sportsbook as of the posting of these previews.

Without further ado, here is the Cage Calculus tale of the tape for this week’s fights!

UFC Vegas 113 (Bautista vs. Oliveira) Previews – February 7, 2026

Priscila Cachoeira vs. Klaudia Sygula

Editor’s Note: Cachoeira has more experience by far in this fight. She’s faced much more top-tier competition. I almost lit her square green for the upset… BUT Cachoeira is also very prone to being submitted. She won’t be able to pursue takedowns and, with Sygula being the smoother boxer and longer fighter by four inches, it’ll be hard for Cachoeira to get anything going. She’ll need to rush in and take chances trying to get in close. Hard, though not impossible, to win a fight that way.

Muin Gafurov vs. Jakub Wiklacz

Editor’s Note: This one is a super intriguing stylistic matchup. Gafurov is a very accomplished knockout artist, with a solid submission game. Wiklacz is a more accomplished submission artist with a decided reach advantage. Gafurov will be very aggressive, but after surrendering a quick guillotine against Said Nurmagomedov, expect him to be a little more measured approaching a submission threat like Wiklacz. The wild card here is Gafurov’s weight miss. Will that give him more stamina, not having had to cut the extra four pounds he missed by? Regardless, I think Gafurov is able to overwhelm Wiklacz, who will welcome him into the pocket for a chance to grapple. He’ll pay for it.

Cong Wang vs. Eduarda Moura

Editor’s Note: This fight should be closer. People want Cong Wang and Valentina Shevchenko to be the female version of the Alex Pereira and Israel Adesanya saga (Wang holds a victory over Shevchenko in pro kickboxing prior to both joining the UFC). Aside from that, the metrics on this fight are very close. Moura will need to get the fight to the ground. Wang’s takedown defense has been stellar, but she has surrendered a standing submission, her only pro loss. Wang should get it done in the end with good takedown defense and counter striking, but Moura is good value at +285.

Javid Basharat vs. Gianni Vazquez

Editor’s Note: This is the most lopsided bout of the night. Vazquez is susceptible to submissions and he’s taking this fight on short notice as his UFC debut. The only question is whether Basharat will win by decision or submission.

Bruna Brasil vs. Ketlen Souza

Editor’s Note: BACK UP THE TRUCK! Brasil only has two paths to victory. She can either stand at range and outpoint Souza to a victory. However, Brasil has not shown a high level of output that can get that done against a high-volume striker like Souza. Brasil does do very well mixing in her takedowns. Souza has struggled, but has also shown an ability to pull a submission out of nowhere. Souza at -152 is fantastic value here.

Nikolay Veretennikov vs. Niko Price

Editor’s Note: Niko Price is always a scary guy to pick because he has a nasty habit of blocking power punches with this face. However, Veretennikov hasn’t shown much against UFC level competition, other than a questionable split decision win over Francisco Prado. This will be the best matchup for Price in a while and it will be against a guy his age to boot. Look for the exciting vet to get it done.

Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Featured Prelim)

Editor’s Note: Two high volume strikers. This one should end relatively quickly. Donchenko has very good wrestling in his back pocket as well. He should use his speed and versatility to wear down Morono in any number of ways. Don’t overthink this one.

Dustin Jacoby vs. Julius Walker

Editor’s Note: Jacoby is taking this fight on relatively short notice after Uran Satybaldiev pulled out. Setting that aside, this is still not a great matchup for Jacoby. Walker is longer, younger, and has the decided advantage in any wrestling or grappling exchanges. This comes down to Jacoby needing a KO (which he is capable of). Another thing to consider is that the CC ratings have Jacoby ranked higher than former champ Jamahal Hill. Either Jacoby is supremely underrated by the UFC or he’s been feeding off of lower level competition and needs a reversion to the mean. I’d bank on the latter.

Jean Matsumoto vs. Farid Basharat

Editor’s Note: There’s just not an area where Matsumoto is better than Basharat, other than knockout ability. Basharat is the crisper striker on the feet and the more dynamic wrestler and grappler. It’s hard to see this playing out with anything other than a Basharat decision, after befuddling Matsumoto for three rounds with mixed looks. The Afghan fighter is one to keep an eye on in this stacked bantamweight division.

Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Marc-Andre Barriault

Editor’s Note: Oleksiejczuk is one of the most crisp strikers in this division. His only issue is that he gets submitted… a lot. However, Barriault is not a threat in that department, having only one submission across 17 career wins. Oleksiejczuk should be able to win with his striking, keeping this fight on the feet. The only question is whether he gets the finish.

Jailton Almeida vs. Rizvan Kuniev

Editor’s Note: Almeida catches a lot of flack for being boring. However, of his 26 career fights, only three have seen the judges’ scorecards. A couple of recent snoozefests have tarnished the image of one of the more talented, exciting fighters in this division. Kuniev is riding high off a very close fight on short notice against Curtis Blaydes, nearly knocking off Blaydes and cracking the top 5 in his UFC debut. However, the clinch work he did against Blaydes will not pay dividends against a guy like Almeida.

Amir Albazi vs. Kyoji Horiguchi (Co-Main Event)

Editor’s Note: This is more of a “heart over head” pick. Albazi, before the neck injury that sidelined him for almost a year-and-a-half, had a bright future, on the cusp of a title shot after a win over Kai Kara-France. However, he did not look like himself, last time out against Brandon Moreno. Horiguchi is coming off an impressive win over Tagir Ulanbekov. However, given the propensity for fighters over 35 to fall off in this division, I am going to keep riding with Albazi until he demonstrates his drop-off is a trend, rather than a one-off rusty night against one of the division’s best.

Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Main Event)

Editor’s Note: This is a big step up for Oliveira. As impressive as he’s looked thus far in his UFC career, Bautista is a different animal. He is very crisp on the feet. And, as he showed against Umar Nurmagomedov, he’s able to scramble on the ground with the best of them. Bautista should be able to clinically win the striking exchanges, forcing Oliveira to over-extend himself, at which point he’s smart enough to just widen his lead from there.

Picture Credit: UFC