After every event, check back in to see how Cage Calculus did at forecasting the prior week’s slate of UFC fights. These standing will compare our traditional algorithm, our new CageCalc+ model, our editor’s picks, and FanDuel Sportsbook’s favorites. You can also see how many wins each algorithm expects, given the probabilities it generates (for example, if the algorithm gives ten fighters a 60 percent chance of winning, it would only expect six of them to win with those odds). How close the algorithm is to its expected numbers gives a better picture of its accuracy.
[NOTE: Some events are missing due to editor’s leave during that time.]
Without further ado, here is how things stack up after the completed fight cards thus far:
July – December

January – June


