The UFC’s first numbered event of 2022 is upon us. The UFC 270 early prelim card now features two fights across two different female weight classes. All win probabilities are generated based on a fighter’s CC Rating and their place in the CC Rankings.

*UPDATE: Matt Frevola vs. Genaro Valdez and Tony Gravely vs. Saimon Oliveira have been moved to the regular prelim card due to other cancellations. Find those previews HERE.*

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Kay Hansen (Women’s Flyweight)

Jasmine Jasudavicius

• Record: 6-1-0
• Division Ranking: 32/43 flyweights
• Vegas Odds: +190 (Underdog)

Kay Hansen

• Record: 7-4-0
• Division Ranking: 40/43 flyweights
• Vegas Odds: -230 (Favorite)

After a short delay, Jasudavicius (pictured above right) will finally make her UFC debut to kick off the early prelim card. The Lithuanian-Canadian prospect has only ever lost one fight in her pro MMA career. That lone defeat came in her bid to win the Cage Fury FC strawweight championship and it was a narrow split decision at that. Each of her other six fights have seen her emerge victorious, with two knockouts and one submission among them. The flyweight division is rich with young prospect talent. Jasudavicius will look to join them and announce her presence in the UFC.

Hansen (pictured above left) is coming off her first loss in the UFC against Cory McKenna. Hansen entered that fight as a slim favorite according to both the oddsmakers and the CC forecast. This comes in stark contrast to her UFC debut, where she defeated Jinh Yu Frey. The forecast had Hansen as a significant underdog. That win netted her a performance of the night bonus. Of her seven MMA wins, all but one have come via finish, with four submissions and two knockouts.

Subjective Spin on Objective Reality: Last week we saw how difficult it was to debut in the UFC, as newcomers got cut down one by one. Jasudavicius should not expect an easy go of it, especially against a woman with the finishing ability of Hansen. That said, Hansen is moving up in weight, having previously fought at strawweight. With the exception of her lone title bid in Cage Fury, Jasudavicius has only fought at flyweight and is undefeated at 125 pounds. She’ll likely have the size advantage. At the risk of learning nothing from last week, let’s go with the newcomer in this one.

Editor’s Pick: Jasudavicius

Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Silvana Gomez Juarez (Women’s Strawweight)

Vanessa Demopoulos

• Record: 6-4-0
• Division Ranking: 39/44 strawweights
• Vegas Odds: -140 (Favorite)

Silvana Gomez Juarez

• Record: 10-3-0
• Division Ranking: 30/44 strawweights
• Vegas Odds: +120 (Underdog)

Demopoulos was meant to fight last week against Ashley Yoder. However, Yoder pulled out late due to injury. Gomez Juarez stepped in on short notice, but due to COVID protocols, the bout was rescheduled for UFC 270. Demopoulos lost her UFC debut in August to JJ Aldrich. That doesn’t mean she has no experience against UFC level competition. In LFA, Demopoulos claimed strawweight gold against fellow future UFC fighter Sam Hughes. She would then lose that belt to another fight destined for the UFC, Lupita Godinez. Demopoulos debuted at flyweight, but now moves back down to her natural weight class at 115 pounds for this bout.

Gomez Juarez is having trouble finding a traditional fight camp. Her last fight, oddly enough, came on short notice against the aforementioned Godinez. She filled in in that bout for the aforementioned Hughes. Don’t let the fact that this bout was delayed a week fool you. This is also a short notice bout for Gomez Juarez. Once upon a time, Gomez Juarez challenged Ariane Lipski for the KSW flyweight championship. She has talent that may be going to waste because of the unorthodox nature of her fight camps in the UFC.

Subjective Spin on Objective Reality: Gomez Juarez didn’t show much in her last short notice bout. It’ll be less tough here with an extra week of preparation, but still a tall task. Demopoulos’ size advantage will be less defined because Gomez Juarez is also a former flyweight. But, Demopoulos has had far more time to train and that will likely be invaluable in the octagon. Once again, this might be a spot to bet against the forecast.

Editor’s Pick: Demopoulos